|
Year |
Actual Winner |
Probability |
Predicted Winner |
Probability |
|
2008 |
Sean Penn |
0.78 |
Sean Penn |
0.78 |
|
2007 |
Daniel Day-Lewis |
0.79 |
Daniel Day-Lewis |
0.79 |
|
2006 |
Forrest Whitaker |
0.91 |
Forrest Whitaker |
0.91 |
|
2005 |
Philip Seymour Hoffman |
0.87 |
Philip Seymour Hoffman |
0.87 |
|
2004 |
Jamie Foxx |
0.58 |
Jamie Foxx |
0.58 |
|
2003 |
Sean Penn |
0.40 |
Bill Murray |
0.40 |
|
2002 |
Adrian Brody |
0.11 |
Daniel Day-Lewis |
0.67 |
|
2001 |
Denzel Washington |
0.09 |
Russel Crowe |
0.65 |
|
2000 |
Russel Crowe |
0.29 |
Tom Hanks |
0.36 |
|
1999 |
Kevin Spacey |
0.27 |
Russel Crowe |
0.49 |
|
1998 |
Roberto Benigni |
0.35 |
Roberto Benigni |
0.35 |
|
1997 |
Jack Nicholson |
0.51 |
Jack Nicholson |
0.51 |
|
1996 |
Geoffrey Rush |
0.54 |
Geoffrey Rush |
0.54 |
|
1995 |
Nicolas Cage |
0.82 |
Nicolas Cage |
0.82 |
|
1994 |
Tom Hanks |
0.46 |
Tom Hanks |
0.46 |
|
1993 |
Tom Hanks |
0.15 |
Anthony Hopkins |
0.39 |
|
1992 |
Al Pacino |
0.30 |
Al Pacino |
0.30 |
|
1991 |
Anthony Hopkins |
0.19 |
Robert DeNiro |
0.06 |
|
1990 |
Jeremy Irons |
0.35 |
Robert DeNiro |
0.40 |
|
1989 |
Daniel Day-Lewis |
0.37 |
Daniel Day-Lewis |
0.37 |
|
1988 |
Dustin Hoffman |
0.45 |
Dustin Hoffman |
0.45 |
|
1987 |
Michael Douglas |
0.27 |
Jack Nicholson |
0.31 |
|
1986 |
Paul Newman |
0.16 |
Bob Hoskins |
0.36 |
|
1985 |
William Hurt |
0.36 |
William Hurt |
0.36 |
|
1984 |
F. Murray-Abraham |
0.51 |
F. Murray-Abraham |
0.51 |
|
1983 |
Robert Duvall |
0.61 |
Robert Duvall |
0.61 |
|
1982 |
Ben Kingsley |
0.59 |
Ben Kingsley |
0.59 |
|
1981 |
Henry Fonda |
0.28 |
Ben Lancaster |
0.53 |
|
1980 |
Robert DeNiro |
0.69 |
Robert DeNiro |
0.69 |
|
1979 |
Dustin Hoffman |
0.57 |
Dustin Hoffman |
0.57 |
|
1978 |
Jon Voight |
0.43 |
Jon Voight |
0.43 |

[...] Results – Best Actor [...]
By: Accomplished! « Memoirs of a Mathematicienne on July 21, 2009
at 6:38 pm